Market analysis
Levels I'm watching. Scenarios I'll respect.
Every note lists a working thesis, the levels that matter, plausible scenarios, and — most importantly — what would invalidate the idea.
AnalysisJul 14, 2026
SPX Weekly Map: Rotation Under the Surface
Breadth is quietly deteriorating while the index prints new highs. Here is the level structure and the scenarios that matter into next week.
EquitiesTrend FollowingIntermediate
7 min
AnalysisJul 10, 2026
ES Futures: Liquidity Pockets Into the Fed
Mapping the untested value areas above and below the balance zone, and the reaction levels I care about intraday.
FuturesMean ReversionAdvanced
6 min
AnalysisJul 5, 2026
CL Crude: Two Scenarios Into Inventory
Where I am wrong, where I am right, and how I am sizing around the event. Not a prediction — a plan.
FuturesBreakoutAdvanced
6 min